Thursday the 19th. September will not just be another day in Venezuela's
political annals. That day, as the clock strikes midnight, the
former Venezuelan present will have served house arrest in his
residence of "La Ahumada", following judgment in the
trial for the 250 million bolivares of State security funds, for
supporting a Central American government at times of crisis and
when normality was just commencing in that turbulent country.
The United States government has recently announced a similar
measure for the benefit of Haiti's President. We assume that President
Clinton will not be tried for such decision. We will not tell
once more the complex and preposterous trial, nor the consequences
it implied in the past, it implies now and will in the future
for Venezuela.
The fact is that Pérez will be back in the streets and
once again will be a first magnitude political factor, notwithstanding
the sympathies or enmities felt towards him. A personality such
as his, essentially polemical, always lecturing on the divine
and the human, unlashes inevitable currents of adherence and at
the same time of rejection, in both cases well filled with emotion
and passion. Friends who know him advise discretion, caution and
balance. We believe his adversaries share the same concerns, hoping
that the former President does not place them in critical situations.
Pérez may be a stabilizing factor but he may also led to
instability. Everything turns around respect for the rules of
democratic game. If his adversaries were to try to reduce him
once more, by means of judicial tricks or other malicious schemes,
Pérez could become an unpredictable factor. Democratic
legality would be at trial. With this, his adversaries would reveal
only the fear they have of a Pérez fully enjoying his political
rights.
Pérez's situation with his old AD party appears to be the
most sensible issue of his return to the street. Pérez
will not let go as a leader. He seems marked by destiny: always
on the scene with a leading role. The world may be too big, but
is it not for former President Pérez. He wants to enter
the debate or the confrontation with AD. His time may elapse at
this. Pérez, evidently, wants to be the great elector of
AD's 1998 presidential candidate, or if not another one not necessarily
belonging to AD, if the party structure, now firmly controlled
by those opposing him, do not let him. This is an extremely complex
chess game: the situation may not be compared to that of Karpov
or any other Russian master trying to win over knights or fools
run by computers. Perhaps one should not think of chess in this
case, since in a chess game all the pieces are on the board and
in this game if it is a matter of cards under the sleeve, as it
was already diagnosed by master Nicholas Machiavelli in 1513 -he
had also been persecuted an disgraced.
There is something one must say of Pérez, -although he
is a front-line fighter and he frequently is intransigent- he
is not a man of vengeance. He is respectful of legal order and
a decided stay of democratic and institutional stability. He is
convince of the need for economic modernization and of State reform.
For all these reasons, he could play a most welcome role if he
chooses to follow a constructive road and if his adversaries are
more rational. All must think of Venezuela's priorities; they
are much more compelling and urgent than the banality of precipitating
the presidential debate, as an excuse to avoid facing what is
vital and cannot endure an endless wait, nor he perverse use of
justice as a lynching tool. Former President Pérez, as
his friends tell, is not used to follow advise. However, he is
now returning from a hard experience and the way how he accepted
and assimilated it do make him respectable. If it were a matter
of giving advise, we would think of these: prudence, moderation,
caution. Discrete as we are and want to remain, we do not dare
advise to be humble.